Soccer

Who Will Win the 2019 NBA Finals MVP? Expert Odds & Predictions

2025-11-11 11:00

 

 

As I sit here analyzing the potential MVP candidates for the 2019 NBA Finals, I can't help but draw parallels to the boxing world that Penalosa mentioned when discussing Concepcion's challenge against the young Llover. Just like in that matchup, we're looking at established champions facing hungry newcomers in what promises to be an unforgettable championship series. Having covered the NBA for over a decade, I've learned that predicting Finals MVP isn't just about picking the best player - it's about understanding narrative, momentum, and which superstar will rise to the occasion when the lights shine brightest.

Let's start with the obvious frontrunner: Kevin Durant. The man's been absolutely surgical in these playoffs, averaging 34.2 points on 51.3% shooting before his calf injury. I've watched him evolve from that skinny rookie in Seattle to arguably the most unstoppable scorer in basketball history. When he's locked in during the Finals, there's simply no defensive scheme that can contain him. Remember his performance in 2017 and 2018? Back-to-back Finals MVPs don't happen by accident. The way he steps up in crucial moments reminds me of those veteran champions Penalosa described - technically perfect, mentally unshakable, and always ready for the toughest tests.

Now, Stephen Curry presents perhaps the most fascinating case. He's been the heart of this Warriors dynasty yet somehow has never won a Finals MVP. That fact still blows my mind considering he's revolutionized how basketball is played. This could finally be his year if Durant misses significant time or plays reduced minutes. Curry's been carrying an enormous load recently, and I've noticed his leadership has reached another level. The way he manipulates defenses with his movement creates opportunities for everyone - it's like watching a chess master at work. If Golden State wins and Curry puts up something like 28 points and 7 assists per game, that trophy might finally have his name on it.

Looking at the Raptors side, Kawhi Leonard has been playing like a man possessed throughout these playoffs. His 31.2 points per game while shooting 50% from the field is just ridiculous efficiency for a primary option. What I find most impressive is how he's elevated his playmaking - he's reading double teams better than ever and making the right passes. Having covered his entire career since that draft night trade, I've never seen him this motivated. The narrative of leading Toronto to its first championship after being traded from San Antonio would make for an incredible story. If the Raptors pull off the upset, Kawhi's getting that MVP 99 times out of 100.

Then there's the dark horse candidates. Draymond Green's impact goes far beyond the box score - his defensive versatility and playmaking are crucial to Golden State's system. I've always believed he's the emotional engine of that team. When he's engaged and focused, the Warriors become nearly unbeatable. Pascal Siakam represents the new breed of NBA stars - versatile, skilled, and constantly improving. His emergence has been one of my favorite stories this season. If he continues his efficient scoring while defending multiple positions, he could sneak into the conversation if Toronto wins and Kawhi has an off series.

The injury situation will play a huge role in how this unfolds. Durant's calf strain has created uncertainty about his availability and effectiveness. In my experience covering numerous playoff runs, returning from injury during the Finals is incredibly challenging. The intensity is just different - every possession matters, and there's no time to ease back into rhythm. If Durant misses the first couple of games or isn't at full strength, that significantly impacts his MVP chances regardless of how well he might play later in the series.

What many casual fans don't realize is how much narrative influences these awards. Voters love redemption stories, breakthrough performances, and legacy-defining moments. That's why Curry's quest for his first Finals MVP could resonate if he delivers signature performances. Similarly, Kawhi leading Toronto past the Warriors would cement his status as an all-time great. I've seen how these storylines develop throughout my career - sometimes the best statistical performer doesn't win if there's a more compelling narrative surrounding another candidate.

Based on what I've observed this postseason and considering all variables, my money's on Kawhi Leonard if Toronto wins the series. For Golden State, I believe Stephen Curry finally gets his due if they capture the championship, especially if Durant isn't at full strength. The odds might favor Durant according to most sportsbooks, but something tells me this is Curry's moment to complete his legacy. Then again, the beauty of the NBA Finals is its unpredictability - that's why we watch, and that's why debates like this remain so compelling year after year. Whatever happens, we're guaranteed to witness basketball history featuring some of the greatest players of this generation battling for the ultimate prize.

soccer guidelines
原文
请对此翻译评分
您的反馈将用于改进谷歌翻译